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ANZ sees gold hitting $5,800 an ounce in the second quarter

By Kitco February 16, 2026 Bullish
ANZ sees gold hitting $5,800 an ounce in the second quarter
Neils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada.

AI Analysis

The forecast suggests a transformative period for gold markets, with macroeconomic conditions creating a uniquely supportive environment for precious metals investment. Sophisticated investors should view this as a strategic repositioning opportunity.

Tickers: AAAUBARDBPDGLGLDGLDMIAUOUNZSGOLUGL

In a bold market forecast that's sending ripples through the precious metals investment community, ANZ Bank has dramatically raised its gold price target to $5,800 per ounce for the second quarter, signaling potential unprecedented opportunities for gold investors.

Gold futures trading screens showing price surge - Silver Intel

The Australian banking giant's commodity analysts are projecting a robust gold market trajectory, driven by complex macroeconomic factors including anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and persistent global economic uncertainties. Their previous target of $5,400 has been decisively upgraded, reflecting growing confidence in gold's continued strong performance.

Despite recent market volatility that has prompted investor concerns about potential price corrections, ANZ remains bullishly optimistic. The bank argues that current market conditions fundamentally differ from historical peak periods like 1980 and 2011, with structural shifts in global financial markets providing unprecedented support for gold valuations.

Key drivers behind ANZ's optimistic projection include expectations of at least two 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts in March and June, which would continue driving real rates lower and enhance gold's attractiveness as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions, including ongoing trade policy uncertainties, further reinforce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.

For sophisticated investors, ANZ's analysis suggests gold is transitioning from merely a precious metal to a critical defensive asset. With global bond markets facing increasing skepticism due to rising debt levels and potential trust issues surrounding traditional safe-haven instruments like U.S. Treasuries, gold emerges as a compelling alternative investment strategy.

While ANZ's projection represents an aggressive outlook, it underscores the metal's potential as a strategic portfolio diversification tool. Investors should carefully monitor emerging economic indicators and Federal Reserve communications for additional confirmation of this bullish trajectory.

Key Takeaways

Topics: gold price forecastANZ gold projectionprecious metals investmentFederal Reserve rate cutssafe-haven assets